Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001429 0.001598 0.001768 0.001953 0.002146 0.002343 0.002557
2025-01-26 0.001155 0.001397 0.001649 0.001930 0.002233 0.002547 0.002897
2025-02-02 0.000941 0.001233 0.001549 0.001911 0.002310 0.002732 0.003211
2025-02-09 0.000831 0.001171 0.001549 0.001993 0.002492 0.003028 0.003642
2025-02-16 0.000694 0.001063 0.001489 0.002000 0.002585 0.003222 0.003961
2025-02-23 0.000536 0.000914 0.001367 0.001927 0.002580 0.003302 0.004150
2025-03-02 0.000409 0.000787 0.001262 0.001863 0.002579 0.003383 0.004335
2025-03-09 0.000309 0.000682 0.001173 0.001812 0.002587 0.003468 0.004521
2025-03-16 0.000236 0.000604 0.001110 0.001788 0.002623 0.003581 0.004737
2025-03-23 0.000206 0.000584 0.001123 0.001855 0.002765 0.003817 0.005092
2025-03-30 0.000163 0.000538 0.001095 0.001868 0.002840 0.003973 0.005354
2025-04-06 0.000129 0.000500 0.001075 0.001888 0.002923 0.004137 0.005623
2025-04-13 0.000070 0.000408 0.000986 0.001835 0.002938 0.004250 0.005871
2025-04-20 0.000034 0.000343 0.000929 0.001823 0.003006 0.004429 0.006200
2025-04-27 0.000011 0.000285 0.000875 0.001811 0.003073 0.004608 0.006532
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000269 0.000891 0.001896 0.003266 0.004941 0.007048
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000228 0.000855 0.001906 0.003359 0.005153 0.007421
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000166 0.000769 0.001836 0.003345 0.005230 0.007632
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000117 0.000695 0.001775 0.003340 0.005314 0.007850
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000080 0.000631 0.001726 0.003346 0.005411 0.008081
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000055 0.000587 0.001704 0.003385 0.005548 0.008359
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000049 0.000596 0.001769 0.003546 0.005840 0.008826
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000036 0.000575 0.001782 0.003632 0.006036 0.009175